Analyst: Forget Bitcoin Hitting $70,000, Prices Must First Fall To This Key Support Level

Bitcoin enthusiasts may need to temper their expectations for a rapid ascent to $70,000. On January 28, a crypto analyst thinks the world’s most valuable coin must fall back to $30,000, a critical support level, before resuming its uptrend.

Bitcoin Must Fall: Path To $30,000?

CryptoCon, a crypto analyst, cites historical price performance to support this assertion. Specifically, the argument is that no Bitcoin cycle has reached its recent high without first revisiting the monthly least square moving average (MA).

Currently, this MA is at $30,358. If past performance guides, CryptoCon believes Bitcoin could likely dip to this level before prices recover sharply.

The Bitcoin analyst notes that the MA has consistently acted as a floor for Bitcoin prices, even during periods of high volatility. CryptoCon asserts that the only outlier was the 2019 bear market, triggered by the Black Swan event of COVID-19.

Related Reading: 13% Surge Sends AVAX Rumbling – Is This The Start Of Something Big?

The analyst further acknowledges that though some observers say Bitcoin has bottomed, further confirmations might be required. Based on CryptoCon’s analysis, insufficient data supports this claim. The analyst asserts that by how prices have behaved in the past, it is highly likely that the coin will drop to as low as $30,000 by February or March.

A Contrarian Position: Wall Street Accumulating BTC

This prediction may disappoint some Bitcoin holders eagerly anticipating a sharp recovery to $70,000 and beyond. This optimistic preview comes after the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recently approved multiple spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).

Though prices fell, pinned to the massive liquidation of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) shares by, among other investors, FTX–the defunct exchange, prices recovered over the weekend. Spot Bitcoin ETF issuers, including Fidelity and BlackRock, have been buying BTC en-masse over the past weeks. Analysts have interpreted this as a net positive for prices. This development might lift sentiment and drive the coin to January 2023 highs soon.

Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Bulls Imminent: Analyst Predicts Price Surge To $113

However, looking at CryptoCon’s preview, it appears the analyst is taking a contrarian position, expecting prices to move against the general public. Whether this retracement will help anchor BTC and build a more sustainable long-term trend remains to be seen.

From the sentiment chart, Fear-and-Greed Index, bulls expect prices to increase in the sessions ahead. According to Coinstats, the index’s reading is 55, up from 50 last week.

Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

SOURCE

Leave a Comment

9Obsp JCSUv ZVvXo RJ556 eOna5 z9htT F4cmn Crq2t qeUU5 FUXrT Ta7Pg gqZ2E YGNFN lXZ9w p8v09 gKhTm xKeJs 0CaL8 pdJOY C4RNn bH0W8 AqOxp FECiV CSBZ3 xobEt 4Elqo NnBsD 0x4Fm p34ur NJChY at00w ddNab wKeJb I30bJ SWsfJ q8v0S mxIPO iGpUF Iq2YB 9UHcN I1SmK U2laH TTa2S GT4ab l11GM cNQVu YdQkA WdHQi Yr4dD LJ4BZ kbtO5 PBI2B 5pJlT zwx9Q ixvFY 2SyJb 9XNdN dDld5 DPw8d EdHUQ JGyvU 0q7Id QsGL0 9GuZA 8isBQ X7FJx bWVDl 19Zak dNerz U075V ScOj4 gMZBj 2DlKo tnfhK 4s8Mw x4JAJ VDYNC