The SEC’s upcoming decision on the Ethereum ETF is monumental. Approval would mean easier access, enhanced legitimacy, increased liquidity from institutional funds, and clearer regulations. Even if rejected, the mere consideration signals a shift toward eventual acceptance. It’s not a matter of ‘if,’ but ‘when.’
Let’s hope ‘when’ is today.
In a recent development, the U.S. SEC has started discussions on S-1 registration for Spot Ethereum ETFs, sparking market optimism and triggering a rally in Ethereum prices.
Insider Insights
According to inside sources, the SEC has begun conversations with potential Ethereum ETF issuers regarding S-1 registration statements. Although still in its early stages, this move marks a promising step toward regulatory approval, though with cautious optimism.
Journalist Eleanor Terrett revealed that discussions between SEC staff and Ether ETF issuers ended with the acknowledgment of ongoing work. Speculation suggests that if the SEC approves the 19b-4 forms on May 23, collaboration on S-1s could follow in the coming weeks or months.
Key Hurdles Ahead
For Ethereum ETFs to get the SEC’s approval, the 19b-4 forms must be approved, similar to the process for Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, the effectiveness of S-1 registration statements is crucial before trading can commence. Recent amendments filed by Fidelity highlight the detailed review process underway.
Predicting the Outcomes
Market observers are keenly watching the SEC’s deadline to approve or deny VanEck’s Ethereum ETF 19b-4 form. Speculation about potential outcomes is high, with Matrixport co-founder Daniel Yan predicting three scenarios. Approval of only the 19b-4 could trigger a sell-off. Approval of both 19b-4 and S-1s would be “very bullish,” while rejection of 19b-4 would be “very bearish.”
Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas predicts an announcement around 4 pm ET today, similar to the timing of the Spot Bitcoin ETF announcement. However, even with approval, the finalization of S-1 forms could delay trading, tempering immediate market expectations.
Market Reactions
Meanwhile, rumors of Ethereum ETF approval have excited the crypto market, lifting ETH prices. This could attract significant institutional investment and drive prices higher, similar to the impact of Bitcoin ETF approvals in January. Following the news, Ethereum prices surged over 2.5%, reaching a 24-hour high of $3,839.76 and trading around $3,830. The anticipation of regulatory progress reflects investor confidence in Ethereum’s potential, echoing the positive response to Bitcoin ETF approval.
Also Check Out : Decoding the Possibility of Ethereum (ETH) Price Reaching a New ATH After the Spot ETF Approval!
Will the SEC approve the ETH ETFs under political pressure, or does it have a plan B to delay them? Only time will tell.
